Home > The Economics Profession, The Economy > Deficit Fever: Loon Tune Time Among the Elite

Deficit Fever: Loon Tune Time Among the Elite

from Dean Baker

We already knew that the folks involved in debating and designing economic policy in the USA  had a weak understanding of economics, that is why they couldn’t see the $8 trillion housing bubble that wrecked the economy, but now it seems that they are breaking their ties to reality altogether. The country is still smoldering in the wreckage of the collapsed housing bubble, but the victims have left the policy debate altogether.

Twenty-five million people are unemployed, underemployed or out of the workforce altogether, but that’s not on anyone’s agenda. Millions of homeowners are underwater in their mortgage and facing the loss of their homes, that’s also not on anyone’s agenda. Tens of millions of baby boomers are at the edge of retirement and have just lost their life savings. This also is not on anyone’s agenda.

Deficit-cutting fever is the current craze in the nation’s capital. But even here there is little tie to reality. House budget committee chairman Paul Ryan put out a budget that proposes that in 2050 we will be spending less on defense, domestic discretionary and various non-medical entitlements together than we spend on defense today. And most of the punditry praise its seriousness. Meanwhile, the Progressive Caucus, the largest single bloc in Congress, proposes a way to get to a balanced budget by 2021, and it is virtually ignored.

There are certainly grounds to criticize the caucus’ budget, since it is not perfect. My list of deficit reducers would include requiring the Fed to hold $3 trillion in debt, as a way to save $1.5 trillion in interest payments over the course of a decade. I would also give Medicare beneficiaries the option to buy into more efficient health care systems in other countries. This would both save money and show people that we can get top quality care for a hell of a lot less money. And I don’t buy the need for major deficit reduction in the first place, but if you want a serious effort to balance the budget, here it is.

Remarkably, the elite media have almost completely ignored it. David Brooks just wrote a new deficit whining track in which he paid zero attention to the Progressive Caucus’s budget or any of the proposals it contained. In his discussion of the release of the caucus’ budget, Washington Post columnist Dana Milbank turned into a fashion critic. He devoted more space to discussing the tie worn by Representative Raul Grijalva (the chair of the Progressive Caucus) then he did discussing the substance of the proposals.

If the budget cutters were serious then the caucus’ proposal would be very much at the center of the debate. All of its proposals poll reasonably well and have been tested in the United States or elsewhere. On the revenue side it calls for raising taxes on the wealthy, but not to levels that are higher than they were in past decades. It also calls for a tax on financial speculation similar to the one that the UK has had for decades and the U.S. actually had prior to 1966.

On the spending side it calls for a quick end to the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and a return to post-cold war levels of military spending. It calls for a public option for health care to save on the costs of the health care exchanges in the ACA. And it calls for negotiating prescription drug prices in Medicare.

All of these proposals pass the laugh test in terms of being practical and politically feasible in the sense that the public would support them. These proposals may not be politically feasible in the sense that the people who pay for political campaigns and own major news outlets do not like them.

But this is still helpful. The Progressive Caucus has done the country an enormous service in producing its budget. They have helped to show as clearly as possible that the deficit hawks do not give a damn about reducing deficits and balancing the budget. They want to cut the programs that the poor and middle class depend upon — programs like Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid — so that the rich can have more money in their pockets.

Deficit reduction as it is usually discussed is a give to the rich agenda. The fact that the Progressive Caucus budget was so universally ignored drives this point home very well.

See article on original website

  1. April 28, 2011 at 1:03 pm

    http://theharpomarxistbrigade.blogspot.com/2010/11/new-york-times-comrade-raithel-solves.html

    “You can play here [http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2010/11/13/weekinreview/deficits-graphic.html]

    As I’ve mentioned, I spend time and energy learning modern monetary theory, the proponents of which argue that deficits just aren’t as evil as Pete Peterson would have us believe – but they don’t have millions of dollars and thousands of minions to promote the counter-arguments to what Peterson preaches…

    Still, just to see what I could do – and given the choices presented, where some choices could reasonably be subdivided into smaller choices – this is what I came up with to solve the deficit puzzle:

    1. Eliminate earmarks.
    2. Eliminate farm subsidies (though actually, I’d cap them.)
    3. Cut a quarter million big guvmint private contractors.
    4. Reduce nuclear arsenal and space spending (for MILITARY uses, right?)
    5. Reduce military to pre-Bush’s Two Stupid War size [we now have 3, count’em, 3 Stupid Wars In Progress].
    6. Reduce Navy and Air Force fleets.
    7. Cancel/delay weapons programs.
    8. Reduce non-combat compensation/overhead (but I suspect more detailed numbers might make me think twice on some specifics.)
    9. Get the [expletive deleted] out of Iraq and Afghanistan by 2013.
    10. Reduce SS benefits to rich [expletive deleted].
    11. Return estate tax to Clinton-era levels.
    12. Return investment tax rates to Clinton-era levels.
    13. Expire Bush tax cuts above quarter mill.
    14. Collect SS/FICA taxes on wages/salaries above $106,000 – and actually, I’d levy SS/FICA on ALL sources of income – wages/salaries, rents, capital gains, whatever. The MMT guys tell me that to think like them, I’d advocate eliminating SS/FICA entirely; but since it’s what we already got, I want it levied in a fair and non-discriminatory way.
    15. Not going to go with Bowles-Simpson, so I choose the other option – but I’d want more detail.
    16. Reduce the mortgage interest deduction.
    17. Levy a carbon tax.
    18. Levy a bank tax.

    I think that comes to $1.451 trillion, if I read the page correctly. The page says “You solved the deficit”, but I don’t know if that means I get a prize, or get a job fixing what professional politicians apparently cannot handle…”

    My point is not to promote myself – well, except as an irritant – but to underscore that these are political choices and that the choices not made are the symptom of the corruption of politics by money (pundits and pols wear their ideological blinders because they are paid to do so….) And yes, I am preaching to the converted (mostly, with minor quibbles about rites.) Just doing my part to saturate the inter-net with the counter-point to what passes for reason….

  2. John
    April 28, 2011 at 5:32 pm

    What really galls me about Ryan’s proposal and all the accolades its gotten is that it completely sidesteps the Social Security question. All it says is that all stakeholders should “come to the table” and offer their “best ideas” on how to reduce the cost of SS benefits. So, one can surmise that all the members of the new Paul Ryan Fan Club based their glowing reviews of his proposal on the Executive Summary and didn’t read the rest.

  3. May 2, 2011 at 4:08 pm

    The easiest way to solve the deficit is to collect all the land rent at Federal level.

  4. merijnknibbe
    May 4, 2011 at 7:07 pm

    Dear reader,

    I can, to an extent, look behind the screens of this blog – there are a number of draft posts from ‘the usual suspects’. I have however no idea why posting has stopped.

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