Asylum seekers: an unmanageable problem?
Yesterday alone the italian coastguard saved 4.400 refugees. Germany expects 800.000 asylum seekers in 2015.Are such numbers manageable?
In a purely quantitative way: easily. Let’s take Germany: in 2014 the number of births increased with 5% to 715.000, leaving Germany with a natural decrease of minus 153.000. Subtracting this from the 800.000 refugees and adding about 400.000 people coming in from other EU countries leaves population growth of about a million or 1,3%. many countries have successfully coped with such growth rates, there is no reason why Germany couldn’t (and mind: the natural decrease is set to increase).
The problem is of course that the babies born in Germany will get at least 10 years of education, will speak German and understand German culture. Many of the asylum seekers will have had quite some education – but a not inconsiderable part of them will be illiterate even in their own language. Few of them will speak German. Not all of them will adapt to core western values, for instance in the case of gender relations.
It won’t solve all of these problems. But it seems that investing in these refugees – i.e:for many of them (young, old, men women) years of education in german (or french or Dutch or whatever) and vocational training – is a necessary part of the solution.
And the Italian coast guard is of course doing a good job.