Home > Uncategorized > About IS. And the west.

About IS. And the west.

  1. IS has an ideology which glorifies hatred, pillage, slavery, executions, subservient women and, as I see it, rape. Which is abhorrent and totally alien to everything I stand for. To hell with that. And not with this.
  2. The war in Syria of course leads to refugees: thousands in 2011, tens of thousands in 2012, hundreds of thousands in 2013 and millions in 2014. At this moment, this wave has of course finally reached the shores of Europe.
  3. ‘The west’ (which as I understand the world includes Russia, nowadays) is part of this war, for one thing as it is at war with IS for quite some time now, France for instance uses an aircraft carrier.

    Reuters reported on November 5 that “The deployment of the battle group alongside the Charles de Gaulle aircraft carrier has been decided to participate in operations against Daesch [ISIS] and its affiliate groups” the French president’s office said in a statement issued on Thursday after a defense cabinet meeting”.

  4. Considering the situation (IS is not yet beaten) one has to pose the question: where does the IS money come from?
  5. Partly: oil.
  6. But: who buys this oil?
  7. Who doesn’t. This piece by Huib de Zeeuw (in Dutch) contains and analysis of the importance of oil for IS finances. Markets work. Trucks and barrels and irrigation systems – everything available is used to transport oil out of IS territory. Evencorrupt local  Kurdish officials are prohibiting Kurdish soldiers to destroy oil trucks, as they are involved in the oil trade.
  8. The article shows a grim, Mad Max like society, corrupt officials, mercenaries who change side when the other side pays more and a fight for oil. One is reminded of the brutal and bloody conflicts in Angola, Sierra Leone and Zaïre (5,4 million deaths). ‘What we see emerging is a growing informal economy, inextricably linked to the globalisation of legal trade‘.
  9. This document by David Francis however reminds us that these conflicts are rooted in ‘fundamental grievances’, too.
  10. Which lead to the question: which part of the IS agenda do we have to adopt. think of: redrawing borders. At least a hint of a possibility to a start of solving the Palestinian problem.
  11. And we do need states which are at least less corrupt and which are perceived to foster the ‘greater good’ (according to my ‘soccer dad contacts’ at least some of the Kurds in exile perceive the embryonic Kurdish state to do a good job at this, not least because of free or cheap and improving health care – financed by oil).
  12. Just voicing belligerent language and dropping even more bombs won’t solve anything. The maps have to be redrawn (not by the west). And oil money has to be put to good use. Which means that we need strong, democratic states. Not an easy task.

  1. November 15, 2015 at 10:16 am

    According to the solution hinted at in paragraph No.10, Israel’s borders will change and Israel will become a geographically smaller country. You haven’t indicated who is going to make Israel do this.
    According to the anti-corruption quest in paragraph No. 11, the embryonic Kurdish state is a good candidate. Who is going to engage in narcotics smuggling/trade, then?
    No. 12 reiterates the redrawing of the borders as paramount to a peaceful settlement that will not have the West doing it. Which countries in the Middle East are going to do it? When has the status of a disputed piece of land ever been settled without a war?

    Perhaps, the author should stick to solving the issues in economic theory until such time as he gets better acquainted with the subjects of history and political science.

    As for the analysis of the financing of IS, a deeper analysis of the joint role of oil and arms smuggling in the conflict would have been very useful.

    • November 15, 2015 at 2:40 pm

      The author actually stuck a little too close to economic theory and left history and political science out of their central position in this otherwise excellent brief article.

      Regarding Israel; it is on the dole from the chief belligerent causing most of the trouble in the world. When the US quits subsidizing Israel it will more than likely change tack and become an actual democracy instead of an apartheid religious state which serves a model for countervailing religious states locked in monotheist struggles over who’s brand of monotheism is the cosmically ordained version.

      Regarding drugs; One need look no further than the US transformation of Afghanistan to number one drug dealer, behind legal corporations with accounting systems unused by the US government to control their illicit sales.

    • November 15, 2015 at 2:49 pm

      Regarding Kurdish morals; I recommend reading “Democratic Autonomy in North Kurdistan.” There you will discover the Kurds have worked with the Zapatistas of Mexico to devise the most modern concept of democracy on Earth. This development is providing the moral fiber of a liberation ideology that is in much closer sync with information-age quantum physics than monotheism.

  2. antireifier
    November 15, 2015 at 4:57 pm

    I wonder if the Armageddon notions in Islam are more relevant than these ideas. Armageddon
    http://en.islamtoday.net/node/1575
    When they reach Syria, he will then emerge while they will be still preparing themselves for battle, drawing up in ranks, and when the time of prayer arrives, Jesus (peace be upon him) the son of Mary will descend and will lead them in prayer. When the enemy of Allah (the Antichrist) sees him, he will dissolve just as salt dissolves away in water. If Jesus were not to confront him at all, even then he would dissolve away completely. But Allah will have him killed him by his (Jesus’) hand and he will show them his blood on his lance. [Sahîh Muslim]
    We believe in this promise from our Prophet (peace be upon him). However, we as Muslims are not supposed to look forward to it or pin our hopes on it. We are not taught in our religion to wait around for miracles to happen. What we are required to do is support our religion by our knowledge, by striving, by calling others to the truth, and by reforming ourselves.

  3. November 15, 2015 at 5:17 pm

    All that is false, because it is based on a false idea: human being is good, it is the civilization that make it bad. Wrong. Israel is the reason of all what is wrong in the area, when it is the unique democracy, and you will to end with it. In your mind, ISIS not so bad as as other form of government, only one more aberration due to Israel. The same that too much people has think of communism and nazism for too much times. Bravo.

  4. November 15, 2015 at 5:30 pm

    Truth revealed after making the International Criminal Court (ICC) mandatory for United Nations member states results in swift, certain prosecution for war crimes, and will bring peace to the MENA (Middle East North Africa) region and world.

  5. November 15, 2015 at 8:13 pm

    After the attacks in Paris this weekend my projection is that Daesch (ISIS) is done (by that I mean dead). Imagine 1000 cruise missiles and hundreds of drone strikes per month and you’ll see the future of Daesch. The collateral damage in property and humans will be extensive. And will then spur develop of new anti-west, pro-jihad movements in the Middle East, Europe, and the US. So the war goes on. The new movements are likely to launch direct and intensive invasions of Israel. And this is a mistake. Pushed, Israel will use tactical nuclear weapons, destroying the invaders and their advisers. The invaders are irrelevant but not so the advisers. Many will be Russian. What the following confrontation between Israel and Russia will look like and who will get pulled into it is impossible to say right now. But it is likely to become very dangerous.

    If the above happens most of the current governments in the Middle East will be overrun. Even Iran will find itself “not radical enough.” And the US, France, etc. will have to make choices about whether to support existing governments politically and financially, or write off the entire Middle East and begin all out bombing to save Israel. Again, nasty.

    A “war economy,” similar to that in China during WWII will develop, with regional rulers running the gamut from traditional chiefs, to drug lords, to fundamentalist Muslims. Again the US, France, etc. will have choices to make about which they recognize, provide aid to, or go to war with. Oil shipments from the Middle East will decline by at least 50%, a welcome event for North and South American oil producers as it will raise oil prices worldwide. And this price increase will spur along develop of fossil fuel alternatives. Plus if a few billion people in the Middle East, Europe, and the US are killed (most in the Middle East) it will certainly benefit our coming problems with food and water resources. So you see destroying the Middle East does have upsides. .

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