Interest rates: the long run (Netherlands 1590-2012, 3 graphs,)
I’ve added the 2012 data to my interest data base (sources here, albeit in Dutch).
Graph 1. 2012 is indeed special: interest rates on government bonds are, with quite a margin, the lowest ever (graph 1). The very low Dutch rate is of course connected to crushing rates in southern Europe and a lack of borrowing by/lending to households and companies. In a sense the pre-Euro rates should be compared with the average Euro bond rate and not with the Dutch rate. Household rates in the Netherlands are however still pretty high, surely when we take ever lower GDP inflation into consideration.
Graph 2. Overnight rates are pretty low, too. Notice that these can be low for decades.
Graph 3. After 1980 the spread between government rates and the household mortgage rate shows a distinctive pro-cyclical pattern. Did anything happen around that year?
try overlaying the price of crude oil
see jeremy Grantham on commodities
he shows basket of 30(?) commodities falling since 1900 to 2002 then rapid rise
or see Limits To Growth
re 1980 : Iranian Revolution ; Oil spikes to $100/ barrel then fell after Reagan elected (coincidence?????) continued to fall allthe way to $10/barrel (see infamous “Economist” article)
Excel files with data on Long and short term interest rates, I am interested in overnight rates data.