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Chart – Every decile of the Greek population has lost since the crash

April 15, 2015 2 comments

from David Ruccio

Greece

According to the data in the chart by Max Roser, Brian Nolan, and Stefan Thewissen, every decile of the Greek population lost ground after the global financial crash and austerity measures were imposed in that country.

Read more…

Categories: Greece

It’s a wonderful life?

April 12, 2015 1 comment

from David Ruccio

Harvard economics professor Sendhil Mullainathan is worried that too many of his students are taking jobs in finance. He should be worried for other reasons, too.

Mullainathan’s concern stems from the idea that much of the activity in the financial sector involves “rent-seeking”:

Instead of creating wealth, rent seekers simply transfer it — from others to themselves. . .

The economists Eric Budish at the Booth School of Business and Peter Cramton at the University of Maryland, and John J. Shim, a Ph.D. candidate at Booth, have shown in a study how extreme this financial gold rush has become in at least one corner of the financial world. From 2005 to 2011, they found that the duration of arbitrage opportunities in the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and the New York Stock Exchange declined from a median of 97 milliseconds to seven milliseconds. No doubt that’s an achievement, but correcting mispricing at this speed is unlikely to have any real social benefit: What serious investment is being guided by prices at the millisecond level? Short-term arbitrage, while lucrative, seems to be mainly rent-seeking.

This kind of rent-seeking behavior is widespread in other parts of finance. Banks sometimes make money by using hidden fees rather than adding true value. Debt collection agencies may use unscrupulous practices. Lenders to poor people buying used cars can make profits with business models that encourage high rates of default — making money by taking advantage of people’s overconfidence about what cars they can afford and by repossessing vehicles. These kinds of practices may be both lucrative — and socially pernicious.

Read more…

Categories: exploitation

According to the Wall Street Journal takeovers are booming.

April 11, 2015 3 comments

from David Ruccio

P1-BT357A_MABRE_16U_20150408191508

According to the Wall Street Journal, Read more…

Categories: The Economy

Conspicuous construction

March 27, 2015 1 comment

from David Ruccio

skyline

The high times aren’t going away in New York.

The city of just six years from now will be dramatically taller, with a series of luxury high-rises towering above Central Park, a new West Side development and downtown spires.

Read more…

Downton Abbey economics

March 3, 2015 8 comments

from David Ruccio

Henry-Talbot-and-Lady-Mary-Crawley

If you watched the Downton Abbey Season 5 finale, you will have seen the elaborately staged grouse shoot: Read more…

Economic representations and the power of ideas

February 26, 2015 7 comments

from David Ruccio

RO20136402 DonDeLillo_Cosmopolis_2011

As readers know, there are few things I take more seriously than economic representations and the power of ideas.

As I argued in my book, representations of the economy (including, of course, issues of inequality) are produced and disseminated in many different discursive forms and social sites, only one of which is the academic discipline of economics. We also find them in academic disciplines other than economics (such as anthropology, sociology, cultural studies, and so on) and in many places outside the academy (including in literature, from Balzac to DeLillo). Read more…

Categories: methodology

Falling real wages in the USA 2007- 2014

February 25, 2015 2 comments

from David Ruccio

wages-2007-14

As the Economic Policy Institute explains, Read more…

Game theory—in practice

February 17, 2015 4 comments

from David Ruccio

 

Greece-Greek-Games-4

source*

Back when I taught Principles of Microeconomics, I offered a lecture or two on game theory. Given how terrible most textbook presentations are, I used to borrowed heavily from the work of Judith Mehta and Shaun Hargreaves-Heap and Yanis Varoufakis to explain the key assumptions behind and the tensions generated within game theory.

Now, Varoufakis is back—in a very different capacity, of course—to explain the lesson he learned from his studies of game theory: Read more…

Categories: Greece, methodology

The current conflict is not between nations, but between classes (2 graphs)

February 9, 2015 7 comments

from David Ruccio

Most of the commentary on the ongoing euro crisis, especially the current Greek debt negotiations, has been couched in terms of a conflict between nations. This is particularly true of mainstream economists, whose nation-state-based models downplay or ignore class, even as the policies they advocate have tremendous class implications.

So, it’s fallen to—however ironically—financial strategist and professor of finance Michael Pettis to remind us the current conflict is not between nations, but between classes.

The whole piece, beginning with the French indemnity of 1871-73, is worth a careful read. But I want to focus here on what Pettis writes about the class conditions that led to and follow on from the current crisis.

First, Pettis makes the important point that the capital flows from north to south within the euro zone were based on important class changes within Germany (he uses his native Spain throughout as his example in the south but most of his analysis follows for Greece and other countries): Read more…

Decomposing the top decile US income share into 3 groups, 1913-2013

February 4, 2015 Leave a comment

from David Ruccio

top shares

The share of total income captured by the top 1 percent actually shrunk in 2013, falling from 21.22 percent to 18.98.

But, as Emmanuel Saez [pdf] explains, that decline is probably a statistical anomaly: Read more…

Categories: income inequality

Decomposing the top decile US income share into 3 groups, 1913-2013

January 30, 2015 Leave a comment

from David Ruccio

top shares

Read more…

Greek tragedy to triumph (9 charts)

January 27, 2015 2 comments

from David Ruccio

Greece has gone from tragedy to triumph—from the tragedy of austerity-induced suicides to the triumph of the anti-austerity landslide victory of Syriza.

So, before we get lost in the media hysteria of “radical leftists,” “firebrand” leaders, and jittery international financial markets, let’s be clear about what Greek voters rejected on Sunday.

Growth-in-GDP-since-2007-by-Nation

Greek workers rejected an austerity program that has led to a decline of more than 25 percent in Gross Domestic Product since 2007. Read more…

Categories: The Economy

Will market forces solve the problem of stagnant wages and growing inequality?

January 24, 2015 8 comments

from David Ruccio

fredgraph

Will market forces solve the problem of stagnant wages and growing inequality?  Read more…

Piketty’s response to Mankiw et al.: “and some consume academics.”

January 17, 2015 7 comments

from David Ruccio

I didn’t attend the most recent American Economic Association/Allied Social Sciences Association meetings in Boston. But, according to Chuck Collins, several sessions focused on the sensation of French economist Thomas Piketty and his 2014 book on inequality, Capital in the Twenty-First Century.

As an outsider to academic economics, I was struck by just how compartmentalized and smug the field appears. At one point, [Gregory] Mankiw even put up a slide, “Is Wealth Inequality a Problem?” Any economist who ventures across the disciplinary ramparts will, of course, find a veritable genre of research on the dangerous impacts of extreme inequality.

We now have over two decades of powerful evidence that details how these inequalities are making us sick, undermining our democracy, slowing traditional measures of economic growth, and turning our political system into a plutocracy.

Mankiw, at another point in his presentation, had still more embarrassing comments to make. Piketty, he intoned, must “hate the rich.” Piketty’s financial success with his best-selling book, Mankiw added, just might lead to self-loathing.

These clearly well-rehearsed quips, aimed at knee-capping the humble French economist, fell flat. Mankiw’s presentation, entitled “R > G, so what?,” came across as little more than an apologia for concentrated wealth.

And Piketty’s response? Read more…

Once again on rigid wages

from David Ruccio

rigid wages

source*

Mainstream economists continued to be mystified by the fact that, even as the official unemployment rate has decreased, workers continue to get the same wages as before. That is, nominal wages for many workers in the United States simply aren’t increasing—that is, they are “upwardly rigid.”  Read more…

Categories: The Economy

Fathers’ versus sons’ wage rates in the USA (2 graphs)

January 7, 2015 1 comment

from David Ruccio

As part of his analysis of changing household structure in the United States, Steven Ruggles [pdf] presents the two charts above summarizing data about the relative income of young men.*

What Ruggles finds is that, when comparing the wages of 25-29 year olds to the wage rates of their fathers 25 years earlier (when the fathers were 25-29), relative income peaked in 1958, when young men made about four times as much as their fathers had a quarter-century before. In the 1960s and 1970s, young men’s relative income collapsed, and since the mid-1980s young men have been making less than their fathers had at the same age. Read more…

Categories: The Economy, Uncategorized

4 charts showing increasing inequality in the USA

January 5, 2015 2 comments

from David Ruccio

Let’s end the year with some important charts assembled by Steven Rattner.

Yes, economic growth picked up and financial markets soared to new record highs. But—and it’s a big but—wages remained stagnant (barely budging in real terms), income inequality got worse (increasing from already grotesque levels), the tiny minority at the top made out like bandits (just as they were doing before 2007), and government programs (even with a Democratic president and Senate) did little to ameliorate the effects of stagnant wages and growing inequality.  Read more…

The gerontocratic economy

December 28, 2014 Leave a comment

from David Ruccio

MillennialPoverty

According to the U.S. Census Bureau, many more so-called millennials (young adults, 18-34 years old) are living in poverty today, and they have lower rates of employment, compared with their counterparts in 1980.

  • One in five young adults lives in poverty (13.5 million people), up from one in seven (8.4 million people) in 1980.
  • Today, 65 percent of young adults are employed, down from 69 percent in 1980.
Categories: Uncategorized

USA wealth gap

December 26, 2014 Leave a comment

from David Ruccio

Pew-wealth

Pew refers to it as a “nest egg.” The rest of us call it net worth, the difference between total assets and outstanding debt. Whatever name we give it, the problem is the same: the wealth gap between those at the top and everyone else continues to grow. Read more…

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